2019.1.27
《金马仑传来的佳音》

巫统与伊斯兰党联手,在金马仑国会议席补选中大胜希盟。前《金融时报》研究员Hafiz Noor Sham判断,经此一役,巫伊结盟确定,但这是马来西亚政治上最糟糕的局面。他说,This Umno-PAS alliance will be the worst of Malaysian politics。

我可不同意他的判断。我觉得,这场补选结果太好了。

第一,政治斗争,从此将会壁垒更分明,从此必须有个你死我活,从此必须有个了断。

了断什么?世俗政治与神权政治必须来一场大对决,也是民主政治与宗教政治必须来一场大对决。

希盟里一些人,再也不能含糊以对了,再也不能意图暗地里拉拢伊斯兰党人了,不论是土著团结党,还是公正党,乃至诚信党,再也不能跟随着伊斯兰宗教师们的话语走了。总之,今后我人你神,干!不想干也得干!伊斯兰再也不是背景色,再也不是三分一;它是敌对色,是二分一。形势走到这里,就变成了有我没他,有他没我。

担心?也无须过于担心。马来西亚可不是只有西马,还有沙巴、砂拉越呐!巫伊合体,意味着巫统在东马的江山从此不必再想拿回来。

第二,此役之败,虽然阵亡的是行动党人,但是,看在公正党与土团党人眼里,估计也够惊恐的了。还要闹吗?还要对自己人两面三刀吗?还要暗地里扯后腿吗?人家现在是巫伊合组集团军,准备跟你希盟打大规模的阵地战了,你希盟还想继续“各自努力”,“分进合击”?还只顾着自己多抢占一城一地好加强分配实力?当心被逐个击破,全军覆没!

第三,巫统里残存的开明派,你现在可以死了心了吧?还等什么?走吧!伊斯兰党已经成虎,巫统沦为伥了,名存而实亡。同样的,经此一役,马华公会也好,国大党也罢,从此可以正式收档了。巫伊联手,足以攻城掠地,不需要马华、国大党在旁边装模做样挂羊头了。既然巫伊都不需要你,你便连做个花瓶的价值都没有。所以,这第三个好处是以种族为政党的政治基本告终,完成了509尚未全尽之功。

人民呢?怎办?能怎办?做个选择就是。

这就是第四点,你选赢,国家就你的;你选不赢,国家就别人的。所有非巫统的前朝余孽,现在就得仔细掂量、好好思考,是要从此跟着伊斯兰党走,还是要痛彻忏悔一番,投靠希盟? 尤其是那些还对马华奶水存有厚望的华沙们、华团头头们、华教领袖们,要不要考虑找找Mohd Ridhuan Tee bin Abdullah求教?跟他学习?

不知道Mohd Ridhuan Tee bin Abdullah?就是那个整天骂祖宗的回教徒郑全行啦。

Will Cameron Highlands win spur on BN-PAS alliance? Data suggests yes, researcher says

Umno acting president Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan speaks to Barisan Nasional candidate for the Cameron Highlands by-election Ramli Mohd Noor at Masjid Kayangan in in Brinchang January 22, 2019. — Picture by Farhan Najib
Umno acting president Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan speaks to Barisan Nasional candidate for the Cameron Highlands by-election Ramli Mohd Noor at Masjid Kayangan in in Brinchang January 22, 2019. — Picture by Farhan Najib
KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 27 — The Cameron Highlands by-election could open the floodgates to more religious and race-baiting in the future with the alliance between Barisan Nasional (BN) and PAS expected to flourish, ex-Financial Times researcher Hafiz Noor Sham alleged.

Hafiz said the voting attitude in yesterday's polls could mark the start of a thriving co-operation between two of the country's biggest Malay-Muslim parties, noting that BN saw its share in votes rise thanks to support from PAS.
“The most important thing here is that, this election probably seals Umno-PAS alliance,” he tweeted last night.
“What Pakatan needs to be wary going forward is really more race-religion controversies. This Umno-PAS alliance will be the worst of Malaysian politics,”" he added.
BN's Ramli Mohd Nor bested Pakatan Harapan candidate M. Manogaran for the Cameron Highlands parliamentary seat by 3,238 votes to give the former ruling coalition its first victory after four by-elections had been held since the 14th general election in May last year.
It was a significant increase in majority votes for BN, which only managed to retain the seat with a triple digit lead in the May 9 polls.
Based on voting data compiled by news portal Malaysiakini, Hafiz said the increase was due to support from PAS voters.
However, PH votes appeared secured. Hafiz said this suggested the rhetoric that voters would turn the Cameron Highlands by-election as a referendum on the new administration's performance had little bearing.
Cameron Highland voters were also seemed unperturbed by some of the "faux pas" committed by the coalition's leaders during the campaign trail, he added.
Instead the researcher said what is at stake for PH is only rural Malay support, which the coalition must manage to avert a BN-PAS monopoly on this voterbase.
“Pakatan needs to improve but not for what most people on Twitter think. Pakatan vote is actually quite secured,” he said.
“It's not that people are ‘menyampah’ (fed up) with Pakatan. Instead, it is that Pakatan needs to go on the offensive to win the other side.”
Immediately after BN was declared the victor, PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang called the Cameron Highlands by-election results a positive development towards better cooperation within the Opposition bloc.
Meanwhile his counterpart in BN, acting chairman Datuk Seri Mohamad Hasan, despite himself initially protesting against the idea, said the two parties will continue this strategy to empower the Muslim agenda in the country.
The fledgling co-operation between the two could threaten liberals in Umno who oppose PAS as conservatives pushing for the Umno-PAS unison will likely be emboldened Cameron Highlands by-election outcome, Hafiz said.
PAS supporters, however, refused to back BN in the three by-elections prior.
“The one that should panic is the ‘more liberal politicians’ in Umno,” he tweeted.

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